Penafiel vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
59.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1992 |
SPB
1 - 2
PEN
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
PEN
1 - 1
FAM
43%
30%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1992 |
LEX
1 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
FCP
2 - 1
PEN
78%
16%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
PEN
1 - 0
CHA
40%
30%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1992 |
SLB
6 - 0
UNM
82%
14%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
BMA
2 - 1
SLB
16%
27%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1992 |
SLB
1 - 2
BOA
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
SLB
1 - 1
FAR
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1992 |
FCB
2 - 1
SLB
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |