Penafiel U19 vs Espinho U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
8º
7º
25
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
PEN
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 3
SOU
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 1
PEN
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
NOG
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 2
ESP
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 2
LEX
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 1
ESP
11%
15%
74%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 1
PAD
48%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
ESP
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |