La Peña vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MEN
2 - 2
LAP
64%
21%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LAP
0 - 1
CDO
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 2
LAP
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LAP
1 - 0
AZK
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 1
LAP
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 0
FAL
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
IDO
4 - 1
ALU
72%
18%
11%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ALU
2 - 3
RIB
68%
20%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
ALU
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |