Peña Sport vs Real Sociedad B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CAU
1 - 3
PEÑ
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
LOG
0 - 1
PEÑ
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
OSA
39%
30%
32%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
CLH
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ATH
5 - 1
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
RSO
4 - 0
OSA
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CLH
2 - 3
RSO
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
RSO
3 - 1
ATH
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
RSO
0 - 1
RAC
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PON
5 - 1
RSO
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |