Peña Fragatina vs Graus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Fragatina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LSA
0 - 2
PFR
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PFR
3 - 1
BOL
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PFR
2 - 2
ALC
26%
23%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 1
PFR
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PFR
0 - 1
LAL
37%
23%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Graus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 5
ALC
17%
20%
63%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LAL
3 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 1
BIE
43%
23%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
BEL
63%
20%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BIN
0 - 1
GRA
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |