Peña Fragatina vs Alcolea CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Fragatina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
PES
2 - 0
PFR
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PFR
4 - 1
GUR
28%
22%
51%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PFR
1 - 2
GRA
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PFR
2 - 2
PHI
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CFJ
2 - 0
PFR
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alcolea CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 1
ALC
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 0
BIE
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ADT
3 - 1
ALC
62%
21%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 0
PES
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 0
ZAI
86%
9%
4%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |