PD Rociera vs La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PEN
4 - 1
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 2
PEN
23%
24%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 3
BAR
76%
15%
8%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
PEN
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
YEY
1 - 1
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
JDB
3 - 0
YEY
52%
22%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
YEY
2 - 2
SMA
30%
26%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LEB
1 - 3
YEY
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
YEY
1 - 2
AGU
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |