Peña Bodegon Arzua vs Sporting Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Bodegon Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SCM
3 - 0
PBA
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PBA
4 - 1
RES
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
POR
3 - 4
PBA
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PBA
1 - 2
VID
69%
16%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 4
PBA
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SSA
3 - 5
VID
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 1
SSA
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SSA
8 - 1
BDN
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
RSL
1 - 1
SSA
40%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SSA
1 - 1
CAL
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |