Pelister vs FK Ohrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
6º
4º
38
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
78.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
78.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
89% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 39 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
68.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
77% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GOS
1 - 1
PEL
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PEL
3 - 1
ARE
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BES
1 - 2
PEL
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PEL
5 - 0
KGE
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TIK
2 - 1
PEL
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FK Ohrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
OHR
2 - 0
ARE
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
KGE
2 - 1
OHR
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OHR
0 - 1
VAR
21%
27%
52%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TET
2 - 0
OHR
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
OHR
0 - 3
RAB
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |