Pego vs Carcaixent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
GIM
1 - 2
PEG
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
PEG
1 - 2
BUR
36%
28%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
PIN
0 - 2
PEG
30%
29%
41%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
PEG
4 - 0
ELC
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
DDE
0 - 2
PEG
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Carcaixent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
UDC
1 - 1
ONT
37%
28%
35%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
VAL
1 - 0
UDC
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
UDC
1 - 0
ALC
38%
27%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
LEV
7 - 0
UDC
64%
21%
16%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
UDC
0 - 0
VIJ
31%
27%
42%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |