Pego vs Tavernes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 0
ALD
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
PEG
68%
20%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PEG
2 - 1
CAN
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ONT
1 - 3
PEG
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 1
CUL
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tavernes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TAV
2 - 0
ALB
16%
23%
62%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 0
TAV
69%
19%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TAV
3 - 1
ONT
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CUL
8 - 0
TAV
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
TAV
1 - 2
REC
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |