Pego vs Portuarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEN
4 - 1
PEG
81%
14%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 1
UEG
10%
17%
73%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALG
4 - 2
PEG
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 3
ALC
30%
26%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 1
PEG
60%
23%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Portuarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
LAL
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SDS
3 - 1
POR
24%
23%
54%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
JAV
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 5
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
UEG
1 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |