Pego vs CF La Nucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
JOV
5 - 0
PEG
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PEG
0 - 1
TOR
23%
26%
52%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PEG
2 - 0
UTI
40%
28%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CAS
3 - 1
PEG
63%
21%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PEG
1 - 3
VIL
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NUC
0 - 1
UTI
72%
19%
9%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 1
NUC
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NUC
1 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LEV
2 - 0
NUC
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
NUC
0 - 0
GAN
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |