Pego vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CUL
2 - 0
PEG
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PEG
0 - 3
ALB
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEG
1 - 1
UDC
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ALG
2 - 3
PEG
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 3
PEG
38%
23%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 2
ALG
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UEM
4 - 1
MUR
94%
5%
1%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 1
SPO
16%
19%
65%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CTS
4 - 2
MUR
92%
7%
2%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 0
MUR
83%
11%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |