Pego vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+239%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
CDG
6 - 1
PEG
62%
20%
17%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
PEG
2 - 1
CAN
29%
25%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 0
PEG
8%
17%
75%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
PEG
2 - 0
REC
43%
24%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEG
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
ENG
1 - 1
MUR
27%
25%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
MUR
3 - 0
CDT
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 1
MUR
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 0
BEN
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CDG
1 - 0
MUR
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |