Pego vs Jávea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
PEG
67%
21%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PEG
0 - 4
POR
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UEG
1 - 1
PEG
81%
14%
5%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PEG
0 - 2
ATZ
21%
23%
57%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LLO
2 - 0
PEG
56%
23%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Jávea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JAV
3 - 1
CDA
59%
23%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UDC
2 - 1
JAV
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JAV
1 - 1
CAL
38%
24%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
JAV
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JAV
0 - 0
CTS
52%
25%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |