Pego vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
BUÑ
1 - 1
PEG
37%
28%
35%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
TCF
0 - 0
PEG
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
PEG
2 - 0
VIN
59%
24%
17%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2000 |
PEG
1 - 2
VAL
19%
26%
55%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
FOY
4 - 1
PEG
27%
30%
44%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
ELC
2 - 1
VIN
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
VAL
8 - 0
ELC
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
ELC
2 - 3
FOY
61%
23%
17%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2000 |
ELC
3 - 3
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
PIN
2 - 0
ELC
43%
27%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |