Pego vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
PEG
2 - 2
CDC
17%
22%
62%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
UDB
2 - 0
PEG
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PEG
0 - 1
UDA
14%
21%
66%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
UDT
2 - 2
PEG
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PEG
0 - 0
UDC
47%
24%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
CTS
0 - 3
ALC
12%
20%
69%
|
20 | 59 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CTS
2 - 1
VIJ
53%
23%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALM
4 - 1
CTS
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CTS
2 - 1
HER
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 3
CTS
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |