Pego vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
MON
3 - 0
PEG
30%
29%
42%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
PEG
1 - 1
ONT
40%
28%
31%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
HOR
1 - 1
PEG
50%
26%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
PEG
2 - 1
VIJ
52%
26%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
SAG
1 - 1
PEG
33%
29%
39%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
ASP
0 - 0
ALB
63%
22%
15%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
PIN
1 - 0
ASP
63%
22%
15%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
ASP
1 - 0
CAN
70%
20%
11%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
UDC
3 - 2
ASP
60%
23%
17%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
ASP
7 - 2
BEN
66%
20%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |