PEF vs SUMU / SOB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
55.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
HES
1 - 1
PEF
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
PEF
2 - 3
NUP
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
SUMU / SOB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
TAV
2 - 2
FCS
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LEP
2 - 1
FCS
70%
17%
14%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TTK
0 - 2
FCS
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 5
ATM
17%
18%
66%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
FCG
0 - 2
FCS
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |