Paysandu vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
53.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
PAY
2 - 1
REM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
LUV
3 - 1
PAY
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
REM
1 - 1
PAY
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAY
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PAY
3 - 1
REC
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
SFE
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAY
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
SFE
0 - 0
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
PPE
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |