Paysandu vs Paragominas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PAY
1 - 0
REM
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
SCP
2 - 4
PAY
9%
16%
75%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PRI
1 - 2
PAY
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 2
PAY
11%
18%
71%
|
59 | 21 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
PAY
6 - 1
PRI
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 3
CAM
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
IAC
2 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
REM
4 - 2
PAR
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
REM
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 2
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |