Paysandu vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 0
PAY
30%
26%
45%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PAY
4 - 0
SAL
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 1
PAY
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PAY
5 - 1
TRE
63%
21%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAY
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAC
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
MAD
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 3
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |