Série C Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Paysandu vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 2
PAY
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 0
MAC
40%
26%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 0
PAY
30%
26%
45%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PAY
4 - 0
SAL
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 1
PAY
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ICA
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 0
PAY
30%
26%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
ICA
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 0
SAL
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |