Non League Div One Southern SW Round 3

Paulton Rovers vs Swindon Supermarine analysis

Paulton Rovers Swindon Supermarine
42 ELO 42
2.2% Tilt -1.6%
12595º General ELO ranking 9098º
720º Country ELO ranking 410º
ELO win probability
46.6%
Paulton Rovers
23.9%
Draw
29.5%
Swindon Supermarine

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
Paulton Rovers
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.5%
Win probability
Swindon Supermarine
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paulton Rovers
+13%
-39%
Swindon Supermarine

ELO progression

Paulton Rovers
Swindon Supermarine
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paulton Rovers
Paulton Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2013
PAU
Paulton Rovers
4 - 0
Tiverton Town
TIV
78%
15%
7%
42 27 15 0
17 Aug. 2013
GOD
Godalming Town
0 - 5
Paulton Rovers
PAU
55%
23%
22%
40 44 4 +2
29 Apr. 2013
HUN
Hungerford Town
4 - 2
Paulton Rovers
PAU
42%
26%
32%
41 40 1 -1
27 Apr. 2013
WIN
Winchester City
2 - 1
Paulton Rovers
PAU
10%
20%
70%
42 18 24 -1
20 Apr. 2013
PAU
Paulton Rovers
0 - 0
Didcot Town
DID
75%
16%
10%
43 28 15 -1

Matches

Swindon Supermarine
Swindon Supermarine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2013
DID
Didcot Town
2 - 3
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
18%
22%
60%
41 28 13 0
17 Aug. 2013
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
2 - 0
Clevedon Town
CLE
69%
18%
13%
41 31 10 0
30 Apr. 2013
MER
Merthyr Town
2 - 2
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
55%
23%
22%
40 45 5 +1
27 Apr. 2013
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
1 - 2
Clevedon Town
CLE
72%
17%
11%
41 29 12 -1
25 Apr. 2013
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
5 - 1
Poole Town
POO
33%
25%
41%
37 47 10 +4