Non League Div One Southern S & W round 2

Paulton Rovers vs Bashley analysis

Paulton Rovers Bashley
34 ELO 38
-4.2% Tilt 5.8%
19606º General ELO ranking 21230º
656º Country ELO ranking 698º
ELO win probability
43.3%
Paulton Rovers
24.4%
Draw
32.3%
Bashley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
Paulton Rovers
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.3%
Win probability
Bashley
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paulton Rovers
+14%
-19%
Bashley

ELO progression

Paulton Rovers
Bashley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paulton Rovers
Paulton Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2006
UXB
Uxbridge
1 - 4
Paulton Rovers
PAU
57%
22%
21%
33 37 4 0
29 Apr. 2006
SHB
Solihull Borough
2 - 0
Paulton Rovers
PAU
51%
23%
26%
33 35 2 0
25 Apr. 2006
PAU
Paulton Rovers
0 - 0
Bracknell Town FC
BRA
49%
24%
27%
33 34 1 0
22 Apr. 2006
PAU
Paulton Rovers
1 - 3
Sutton Coldfield Town
SUT
34%
25%
41%
35 41 6 -2
15 Apr. 2006
PAU
Paulton Rovers
2 - 2
Clevedon Town
CLE
19%
23%
58%
33 51 18 +2

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2006
BAS
Bashley
5 - 3
Windsor & Eton FC
WEF
54%
23%
23%
36 34 2 0
29 Apr. 2006
HOR
Horsham
7 - 1
Bashley
BAS
68%
19%
14%
36 44 8 0
22 Apr. 2006
BAS
Bashley
3 - 1
Corinthian-Casuals
COR
74%
16%
10%
36 23 13 0
15 Apr. 2006
MET
Metropolitan Police
2 - 1
Bashley
BAS
56%
22%
22%
36 40 4 0
08 Apr. 2006
ATK
Ashford Town Kent
2 - 0
Bashley
BAS
22%
23%
55%
38 22 16 -2