Paulista vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
2 - 0
PAU
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PAU
0 - 2
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAU
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
PAU
2 - 1
RIO
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
PAU
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
PRI
2 - 1
BAR
23%
28%
49%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 2
PRI
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PRI
2 - 0
BER
19%
26%
55%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
PRI
0 - 1
BAT
39%
28%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
PRI
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |