Paulista vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAU
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
PAU
39%
26%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
PAU
3 - 1
ATL
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAU
46%
23%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 3
PAU
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
MOG
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MIR
4 - 3
BOT
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOT
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |