Pau FC vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
AMI
0 - 0
PAU
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PAU
0 - 1
GUI
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
TRO
2 - 0
PAU
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 1
ROD
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
VAL
3 - 0
PAU
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ASN
0 - 1
LHA
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PFC
0 - 2
ASN
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NIO
1 - 0
ASN
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ASN
2 - 2
GUI
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
AMI
1 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |