Pau FC vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
TRO
2 - 0
PAU
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 1
ROD
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
VAL
3 - 0
PAU
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
COL
0 - 2
PAU
11%
20%
69%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
ROD
2 - 0
PAU
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 3
LHA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ASN
2 - 2
GUI
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
GUI
0 - 1
NIO
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
LOR
1 - 0
GUI
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
GUI
0 - 1
BRE
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |