Pau FC vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FCA
0 - 1
PAU
6%
12%
82%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
PAU
25%
28%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
PAU
3 - 3
LUS
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
STL
0 - 1
PAU
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
PAU
1 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 0
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 1
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 1
SPO
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
RED
2 - 0
AVR
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
AVR
1 - 1
BEZ
45%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |