National . Jor. 19

Pau FC vs Avranches analysis

Pau FC Avranches
56 ELO 53
-11% Tilt -9.6%
1509º General ELO ranking 3568º
34º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
42.3%
Pau FC
26.7%
Draw
30.9%
Avranches

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
Pau FC
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.9%
Win probability
Avranches
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pau FC
-3%
-35%
Avranches

ELO progression

Pau FC
Avranches
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pau FC
Pau FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2019
CHA
Chambly
1 - 0
Pau FC
PAU
59%
24%
18%
56 62 6 0
21 Dec. 2018
PAU
Pau FC
0 - 0
Sannois Gratien
SAN
47%
27%
26%
56 54 2 0
14 Dec. 2018
CHO
Cholet
2 - 1
Pau FC
PAU
42%
26%
32%
57 52 5 -1
08 Dec. 2018
CHA
Chateauroux
4 - 0
Pau FC
PAU
53%
24%
23%
58 63 5 -1
23 Nov. 2018
STL
Stade Lavallois
0 - 2
Pau FC
PAU
48%
27%
26%
57 57 0 +1

Matches

Avranches
Avranches
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2019
AVR
Avranches
0 - 2
Le Mans
LMU
40%
28%
32%
55 58 3 0
06 Jan. 2019
CHA
Chambly
2 - 1
Avranches
AVR
56%
24%
20%
56 61 5 -1
08 Dec. 2018
STA
Stade Pontivy
1 - 0
Avranches
AVR
6%
13%
82%
56 13 43 0
30 Nov. 2018
AVR
Avranches
2 - 3
Marignane Gignac
MGG
56%
25%
19%
57 52 5 -1
23 Nov. 2018
SAN
Sannois Gratien
1 - 3
Avranches
AVR
39%
26%
35%
56 53 3 +1
X