Patrocinense vs Nacional Uberaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
PAT
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 2
MAM
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 0
ARA
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
PAT
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional Uberaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
MAM
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 3
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 3
NAC
80%
14%
7%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
UBE
13%
21%
66%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
UBE
1 - 1
NAC
80%
14%
6%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |