Patriotas Boyacá vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 1
ENV
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
CUC
2 - 1
PAT
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
PAT
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAT
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 1
EQU
34%
30%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
REA
0 - 1
BUC
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
REA
1 - 0
BUC
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 2
REA
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
REA
0 - 1
CUC
20%
25%
56%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |