Patriotas Boyacá vs Tigres FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAT
16%
26%
58%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 0
PAT
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 1
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
PAT
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 1
FOR
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
TFC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 2
RIO
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
BOG
2 - 1
TFC
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 0
PAC
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
TFC
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |