Copa Colombia . Last 16
Global 1-4
Patriotas Boyacá vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
HUI
0 - 2
PAT
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
PAT
36%
29%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
PAT
0 - 1
ENV
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 0
PAT
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 1
JAG
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
IND
3 - 1
TOL
43%
26%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
HUI
2 - 3
TOL
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
HUI
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TOL
5 - 0
JAG
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |