Paternò vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SOR
2 - 1
PAT
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 2
TAR
28%
27%
45%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
USF
6 - 1
PAT
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PAT
0 - 1
VIR
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 0
PAT
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SSS
3 - 2
CHI
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SSS
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
SSS
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FER
2 - 2
SSS
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |