Paterna B vs Bugarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paterna B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
PAT
37%
23%
39%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 0
BEN
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 1
PAT
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 0
RAY
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 0
BUG
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BUG
3 - 0
RAY
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TUE
1 - 2
BUG
13%
19%
68%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BUG
0 - 1
BET
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |