Thyella Katsika vs Asteras Petriti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
9º
15º
13º
47
9º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 88.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thyella Katsika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 0
AGN
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
PAS
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 1
NEA
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
THE
2 - 0
PAS
57%
20%
22%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 1
AEL
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Asteras Petriti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
ASS
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AGN
0 - 1
AST
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AST
3 - 0
TRI
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
AST
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
VAT
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |