Partick Thistle vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
7º
4º
55
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
COV
1 - 1
PAR
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
KHE
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
ARB
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 3
DUN
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AYR
2 - 0
RAI
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
AYR
1 - 0
POL
83%
11%
5%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ICT
2 - 2
AYR
42%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 3
AYR
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AYR
1 - 1
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |