Vaprus Pärnu vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 4
TAR
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
LEV
3 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
PAR
5 - 2
WAR
81%
13%
7%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 0
AJA
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TRA
2 - 0
AJA
85%
11%
5%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
TUL
1 - 2
TRA
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
TRA
2 - 0
TAM
81%
13%
7%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
WAR
0 - 3
TRA
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
TRA
2 - 1
FLO
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |