Vaprus Pärnu vs Saku Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 0
PAR
31%
23%
46%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
MAA
3 - 1
PAR
49%
21%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
KAL
1 - 0
PAR
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
FLO
10%
14%
76%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
TUL
71%
17%
13%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Saku Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
TAL
3 - 3
SSP
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
TJK
11 - 0
SSP
92%
6%
2%
|
22 | 60 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
SSP
0 - 2
ZEN
40%
21%
39%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
SSP
4 - 2
POS
46%
21%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
SSP
3 - 2
RAK
33%
21%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |