Esiliiga Normal Season Round 12

Vaprus Pärnu vs Maardu FC analysis

Vaprus Pärnu Maardu FC
54 ELO 54
33.8% Tilt 18.6%
2206º General ELO ranking 775º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.4%
Vaprus Pärnu
22%
Draw
30.6%
Maardu FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
30.6%
Win probability
Maardu FC
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vaprus Pärnu
+3%
+3%
Maardu FC

ELO progression

Vaprus Pärnu
Maardu FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu
Vaprus Pärnu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jul. 2020
JKJ
Alliance FC
0 - 5
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
13%
19%
68%
53 39 14 0
06 Jul. 2020
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
2 - 2
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
43%
24%
33%
53 60 7 0
02 Jul. 2020
NOM
Nõmme United
2 - 2
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
73%
15%
12%
53 60 7 0
27 Jun. 2020
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
3 - 0
Tammeka II
TAM
46%
22%
31%
51 53 2 +2
21 Jun. 2020
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
2 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
49%
23%
29%
52 51 1 -1

Matches

Maardu FC
Maardu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2020
TAM
Tammeka II
1 - 2
Maardu FC
MAA
33%
24%
43%
54 51 3 0
05 Jul. 2020
MAA
Maardu FC
3 - 1
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
64%
19%
17%
53 50 3 +1
02 Jul. 2020
JKJ
Alliance FC
0 - 4
Maardu FC
MAA
12%
18%
70%
53 40 13 0
28 Jun. 2020
MAA
Maardu FC
1 - 0
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
57%
20%
23%
52 52 0 +1
21 Jun. 2020
FCP
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
0 - 1
Maardu FC
MAA
35%
22%
43%
52 49 3 0