Vaprus Pärnu vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
48.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
9º
7º
15
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 75 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 69 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 43 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 35 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 33 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
TAM
0 - 5
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 2
LEV
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FLO
0 - 1
PAR
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
TRA
3 - 1
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 3
KAL
29%
25%
47%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 3
TRA
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
KUR
1 - 2
HJP
30%
24%
47%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 0
TAL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
LEV
5 - 0
HJP
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 0
VAL
40%
22%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |