Vaprus Pärnu vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
7º
6º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEV
8%
19%
73%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
PAR
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 2
TAL
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 2
PAR
63%
22%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
KUR
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 1
KUR
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
FLO
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 1
HJP
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HJP
2 - 1
LEV
12%
21%
67%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
HJP
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |