Vaprus Pärnu vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SIK
3 - 2
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 6
FLO
8%
15%
76%
|
36 | 78 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAR
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 2
TUL
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
TRA
3 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 1
TJK
33%
24%
44%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
TJK
2 - 0
AJA
65%
19%
17%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
FLO
0 - 4
AJA
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
6 - 0
TVM
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
KIV
1 - 4
AJA
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |