Estonia Third Division West / South Round 13

Vaprus Pärnu II vs Raplamaa analysis

Vaprus Pärnu II Raplamaa
50 ELO 30
16.9% Tilt 21.7%
36008º General ELO ranking 10188º
263º Country ELO ranking 65º
ELO win probability
82.6%
Vaprus Pärnu II
11.3%
Draw
6%
Raplamaa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu II
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6%
Win probability
Raplamaa
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vaprus Pärnu II
-13%
-20%
Raplamaa

ELO progression

Vaprus Pärnu II
Raplamaa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu II
Vaprus Pärnu II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2024
SJL
Saue JK Laagri
0 - 4
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
17%
19%
64%
49 36 13 0
01 Jun. 2024
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu II
4 - 0
Harju JK Laagri II
HLA
53%
21%
26%
47 46 1 +2
26 May. 2024
NOU
Nõmme United II
5 - 2
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
31%
23%
47%
49 42 7 -2
18 May. 2024
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu II
5 - 2
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
79%
13%
8%
49 34 15 0
12 May. 2024
TAZ
Tallinna Zapoos
2 - 7
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
32%
23%
46%
48 39 9 +1

Matches

Raplamaa
Raplamaa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2024
TJK
TJK Legion
3 - 1
Raplamaa
RAP
74%
14%
11%
31 45 14 0
09 Jun. 2024
RAP
Raplamaa
1 - 1
Saku Sporting
SSP
37%
20%
44%
31 36 5 0
05 Jun. 2024
KEI
Keila JK
1 - 1
Raplamaa
RAP
40%
21%
39%
31 27 4 0
01 Jun. 2024
KEI
Keila JK
1 - 3
Raplamaa
RAP
50%
20%
31%
30 28 2 +1
26 May. 2024
RAP
Raplamaa
2 - 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat
TAU
64%
17%
19%
29 26 3 +1