Vaprus Pärnu II vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
80.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
KEI
1 - 3
PAR
58%
19%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
TUL
6 - 1
PAR
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
3 - 0
PIR
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
JOK
3 - 4
PAR
59%
19%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
RAP
4 - 2
PAR
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
VJK
4 - 2
PAI
6%
13%
81%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
KUR
2 - 3
PAI
22%
21%
57%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PAI
4 - 1
KEI
88%
9%
4%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
TUL
0 - 3
PAI
7%
14%
79%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PAI
3 - 1
RAP
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | +1 |