Vaprus Pärnu II vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
83.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
RAP
7 - 1
PAR
56%
19%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
JOK
13%
15%
72%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
POS
2 - 3
PAR
60%
18%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HJP
3 - 2
PAR
93%
5%
2%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TUL
0 - 1
PAR
70%
15%
15%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
POS
1 - 4
PAI
6%
12%
82%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUL
0 - 2
PAI
5%
12%
83%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PAI
3 - 2
HJP
75%
14%
11%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
PAI
2 - 7
TJK
67%
16%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
KUR
0 - 9
PAI
9%
15%
76%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |