Vaprus Pärnu II vs Joker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
56%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 4
PAR
26%
20%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 1
OTE
64%
18%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
GAN
0 - 8
PAR
52%
19%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
5 - 1
JKP
62%
18%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PAI
5 - 2
PAR
90%
8%
3%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
JOK
3 - 1
POS
67%
17%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
JOK
4 - 4
TJK
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MST
1 - 2
JOK
32%
20%
48%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PTV
5 - 1
JOK
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NOO
0 - 0
JOK
52%
20%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |